Roughly how many VLCCs are at sea right now?
What they are testing
Structured estimation. The number is irrelevant; they want to watch you decompose a problem.
Build it from seaborne crude volumes. Around 40 million barrels a day moves by sea. A VLCC carries roughly 2 million barrels, so that is about 20 loadings a day.
A round voyage on a long haul route is perhaps 60 to 80 days including waiting and discharge. Twenty loadings a day across a seventy day cycle gives something on the order of 1,400 vessels engaged, against a global fleet of around 900 VLCCs.
That mismatch is the interesting part, and saying so is the point: it means the average voyage is shorter than assumed, or that a meaningful share of the trade moves on smaller vessels. Noticing your own answer is inconsistent scores better than a clean wrong number.
Answers that lose the room
- Guessing a number with no working.
- Refusing to attempt it.
- Not sanity checking the result against anything.